In each of the last five Tailwind Checks, we found more than €100,000 in net income potential. Three days from now, you'll know your number.
For organisations with an annual donation volume of €3m+ · DACH
Our methods were developed through campaigns at major organisations. We'll walk you through the specifics in a call.
We work with anonymised donor IDs. Personal data stays within your organisation. Your IT team doesn't need to authorise anything.
Fundraisers, data people and AI developers all work together here. Add in a leading expert in digital-only fundraising, whose benchmarks you can use from the start.
Enzo Duit, Founder · Book a Tailwind Check call
Most teams plan print volumes using historical figures. Daisy calculates what gets left behind in the process.
Your AI agent for fundraising data, audiences, mailings, reports, and donor questions. We'll work through it together.
I've analysed the 2026 house mailings by rank in the selection. The selection ranks all donors by expected value. I measured what each letter actually returned by rank, and compared it against cost.
What this means: From rank 40,000, a letter returns just around €0.45 against a cost of €0.85. On average, around 26,000 letters per house mailing crossed that threshold, generating roughly €11,700 in return against €22,100 in costs. Across 8 house mailings, that is around 210,000 fewer letters.
| Mailing | 2026 Volume | Proposed 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| HM 1 Donation receipt | 66,000 | approx. 65,000 |
| Regular HMs, each | approx. 66,000 | approx. 40,000 |
| HM Christmas | 72,000 | approx. 75,000 |
| Emergency HMs, each | 30,000–65,000 | approx. 55,000 |
| New: Reactivation, twice a year | – | approx. 28,000 |
| New: Second gift | – | approx. 450/month |
Part of the freed-up postage budget goes into two new mailings: Reactivation for at-risk donors who will no longer receive every house mailing, and Second Gift for first-time donors of the past 12 months.
What next? After accounting for the new mailings, around €125,000 in postage budget remains. According to the curve, additional house mailings would add very little.
Shall I look at whether we can acquire new donors more efficiently through other channels, such as online?
We know resources are tight.
We run a backtest on your donor data and show you how much more income was possible at the same volume.
We align on goals, channels and data status.
Standard exports with anonymised donor IDs and history.
You receive the report in time for annual planning.
You see the numbers and decide if and how to proceed.
Personal data stays within your organisation. The analysis runs on anonymised donor IDs.
We run a test with Meta ads and manage it from start to finish. After around 8 weeks, Daisy reports back automatically: with cost per community member, cost per monthly donor, break-even and a recommendation for next steps.
Daisy manages the Meta campaigns and will reach out as soon as results are available.
Your test has been running for 8 weeks. I've analysed the Meta campaigns, community members and first donations. Here is the overview and my recommendation for next steps.
What this means: A community member costs €11 and breaks even after about 13 months. After that, they generate income without any further cost.
| Step | Budget |
|---|---|
| 1 · Build the foundationCommunity Engine and Donation Engine: reach interested people directly as community members and convert them into donors and monthly donors. Less reliance on Meta. | approx. 60% |
| 2 · Grow on performanceIncrease budget only where early signals show that cost per monthly donor is below their value of approximately €190 in year one. | approx. 40% |
Goal: With every campaign, you build more of your own community and reduce your reliance on Meta.
Shall I draw up the plan for the next 6 months?
You build the foundation and reduce your dependence on Meta. Interested people become community members you reach directly. From them come donors and monthly donors. Performance keeps growing, dependency keeps falling. Your community becomes your digital house file: like offline, but cheaper to reach than prospect lists.
All sources flow into one ultrafast Data Lake. No more Excel reports. Every question is just one answer away, right down to which ad or email a donor saw.
Net income potential is the additional income remaining after all costs.
When all your sources are connected, you simply ask. Below is a real run from the product, edited for length.
Your AI agent for fundraising data, audiences, mailings, reports and donor questions. Let's work through it together.
I've run the analysis. To compare channels fairly, each cohort gets the same amount of time: donors who gave recently haven't had the chance to make a second gift yet.
Cohort: donors whose very first gift was between 24 and 6 months ago. Observation window: exactly 6 months after the first gift, the same for everyone.
| Channel | Newly acquired | Median first gift | Median total value, 6 mo. |
|---|---|---|---|
| direct mail | approx. 11,600 | €28 | €29.40 |
| other | approx. 8,100 | €45 | €46.70 |
| donation form | 14 | €55 | €57.50 |
Is the difference random? No. The chi-squared test for repeat rate and the Mann-Whitney tests for value and timing each return p < 0.0001. Because donation amounts are heavily skewed, I use non-parametric tests rather than means.
Acquisition costs unified: I allocated production, postage, media and agency costs per channel to the donors actually acquired. Year 1 is observed (cohort with first gift 24 to 12 months ago). Years 3 and 5 I project from older cohorts (first gift 2018 to 2021) using a survival curve. "Net" means cumulative donation value per new donor minus acquisition cost.
| Channel | Cost per new donor | Net after 1 yr | Net after 3 yrs | Net after 5 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| direct mail | €38 | −€4 | +€23 | +€46 |
| other | €52 | +€6 | +€52 | +€89 |
What this means for the CAC question: Direct mail is cheaper per head but only pays back after about 14 months. "Other" costs more, but converts to repeat giving more often and faster, and is in the black after about 11 months. After 5 years, each euro invested returns roughly €1.20 net (direct mail) versus €1.70 (other). Year 5 is a projection with an uncertainty band of about ±15%. Anyone who only looks at first-gift acquisition cost would favour direct mail and leave money on the table over the longer horizon. That requires exactly this unified cost per channel.
Would you like me to save this?
So far, Daisy has answered questions.
Now give her a goal.
Daisy is an agent. When needed, she spins up her own server, trains a model for your goal and tests it on data she set aside beforehand. Like a data scientist on call.
By the way: Daisy comes from Data Scientist. In case you were wondering.
Discuss your goal with Daisy →Choose your starting point – you can tick both. Then pick a time directly in the calendar. Peak season right now? That's exactly why this is only 15 minutes.
Pick a time now – it only takes a minute.
We can find something at short notice. Just drop me a message:
Message meWe'll speak soon. No preparation needed.
We can find something at short notice. Just drop me a message:
Message meThe Tailwind Check takes 15 minutes and gives you the numbers before your 2027 budget is set.
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